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Winter Weather Update #1 for 1/12 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Will Schwartz           1/11/2012 03:04 AM   

The 00z Jan 11 guidance has trended warmer from previous guidance but there are still a lot of complications to be worked out. Most of the region north of the MA/CT border looks to experience winter weather on Thursday Jan 12....especially during the predawn hours and into the morning. Further north into southern Maine, the winter weather will be more geared toward late morning and afternoon on Thursday.

There is an intense battle going between the southerly push of warm air from the system climbing up the east coast and a high pressure system north of Maine and this battle ground is what produces the winter weather currently forecasted for Thursday. With warmer temperatures aloft in Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire, freezing rain is a bigger possibility than what was previously forecasted 24 hours ago. However, we are still seeing some struggle with the current models on exactly how much snow falls before the freezing rain threat.

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Winter Weather Threat for 1/12 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Will Schwartz           1/10/2012 02:55 AM   

As many of you already know, it's been a very mild and snowless winter in New England thus far since the October snowstorm...particularly for the regions outside the Green Mountains. But we finally have a winter weather threat to track. A low pressure system which brought significant snow to west Texas will be moving east and then eventually up the East Coast by Wednesday night and into Thursday. This system was originally progged to be mostly rain all the way up to the Canadian border a few days ago, but circumstances have changed a bit with a powerful upper level low pressure to the north of Maine well into Quebec supplying more cold air than originally forecasted. This upper level low will produce a cold high pressure system at the surface on the southern flank which will drain colder air into the region.

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